[discia] GCSE Maths › Probability › Probability Equation Questions › Practise
  1. Either paper 5 marks

    A bag contains red, blue and green counters.

    The number of red counters is \(x + 4\).

    The number of blue counters is \(3x - 3\).

    The number of green counters is \(3x + 4\).

    A counter is taken from the bag at random. The probability that it is blue is \(\frac{6}{17}\).

    (a)

    Find the value of \(x\).

    (b)

    Work out how many counters of each colour are in the bag.

    Show answer
    (a) \(9\)
    (b) 13 red, 24 blue and 31 green

    Add the three expressions to get the total number of counters:

    \(\left(x + 4\right) + \left(3x - 3\right) + \left(3x + 4\right) = 7x + 5\)

    The probability that a counter is blue is the blue expression over this total:

    \(\frac{ 3x - 3 }{ 7x + 5 } = \frac{ 6 }{ 17 }\)

    Cross-multiply:

    \(17\left(3x - 3\right) = 6\left(7x + 5\right)\)

    Expand and collect the \(x\) terms on one side:

    \(9x = 81\)

    \(x = 9\)

    Substitute \(x = 9\) into each expression:

    Red: \(9 + 4 = 13\)

    Blue: \(3 \times 9 - 3 = 24\)

    Green: \(3 \times 9 + 4 = 31\)

    • (a) M1total \(7x + 5\)
    • (a) M1equation \(\frac{ 3x - 3 }{ 7x + 5 } = \frac{ 6 }{ 17 }\) cross-multiplied
    • (a) A1\(x = 9\)
    • (b) M1substitute \(x = 9\) into the expressions
    • (b) A113 red, 24 blue and 31 green
  2. Either paper 4 marks

    A spinner can land on blue, purple, orange or red.

    The table shows the probability of each colour.

    ColourBluePurpleOrangeRed
    Probability\(x\)\(3x\)\(2x\)\(0.1\)
    (a)

    Find the value of \(x\).

    (b)

    The spinner is spun 400 times.

    Work out an estimate for the number of times it lands on purple.

    Show answer
    (a) \(0.15\)
    (b) \(180\)

    The four probabilities must add up to 1:

    \(x + 3x + 2x + 0.1 = 1\)

    \(6x = 1 - 0.1 = 0.1\)

    \(x = 0.1 \div 6 = 0.15\)

    \(P(\text{ purple }) = 3x = 3 \times 0.15 = 0.45\)

    \(400 \times 0.45 = 180\)

    • (a) M1probabilities add to 1: \(x + 3x + 2x + 0.1 = 1\), giving \(6x\) equal to 1 minus \(0.1\)
    • (a) A1\(x = 0.15\)
    • (b) M1\(P(\text{ purple }) = 3x = 0.45\), then \(400 \times 0.45\)
    • (b) A1estimate \(180\)
  3. Either paper 4 marks

    A bag contains \(24\) chips. Some of them are blue and the rest are yellow.

    Omar takes a chip at random from the bag, records its colour, and puts it back.

    He then takes a second chip at random from the bag.

    The probability that both chips are blue is \(\frac{ 289 }{ 576 }\).

    (a)

    Calculate how many of the chips in the bag are blue.

    (b)

    Calculate the probability that neither chip is blue.

    Show answer
    (a) \(17\ \text{chips}\)
    (b) \(\frac{49}{576}\)

    The first chip goes back before the second is taken, so the bag is the same both times and the two draws do not affect each other.

    Write \(r\) for the number of blue chips. Each draw has probability \(\frac{r}{ 24 }\) of being blue, so

    \(\frac{r}{ 24 } \times \frac{r}{ 24 } = \frac{ 289 }{ 576 }\)

    \(\frac{r^2}{ 576 } = \frac{ 289 }{ 576 }\)

    The denominators already match, so \(r^2 = 289\) and

    \(r = \sqrt{ 289 } = 17\)

    There are \(17\) blue chips in the bag.

    \(24 - 17 = 7\) of the chips are yellow.

    The bag is unchanged between the draws, so

    \(\frac{ 7 }{ 24 } \times \frac{ 7 }{ 24 } = \frac{ 49 }{ 576 } = \frac{49}{576}\)

    • (a) M1each draw has probability \(\frac{r}{ 24 }\), so \(\frac{r}{ 24 } \times \frac{r}{ 24 } = \frac{ 289 }{ 576 }\)
    • (a) M1\(r^2 = 289\)
    • (a) A1\(r = 17\)
  4. Either paper 6 marks

    A bag contains \(n\) counters.

    6 of the counters are red and the other \(n - 6\) counters are blue.

    Two counters are taken from the bag at random, without replacement.

    The probability that both counters are red is \(\frac{1}{ 29 }\).

    (a)

    Show that \(n^2 - n - 870 = 0\)

    (b)

    Calculate the total number of counters in the bag.

    Show answer
    (a) \(n^2 - n - 870 = 0\)
    (b) \(30\)

    There are \(n\) counters and 6 of them are red, so

    \(P(\text{first is red}) = \frac{ 6 }{ n }\)

    One red counter has now gone, leaving 5 red counters out of \(n - 1\), so

    \(P(\text{second is red}) = \frac{ 5 }{n - 1}\)

    Multiply the two probabilities:

    \(\frac{ 6 }{ n } \times \frac{ 5 }{n - 1} = \frac{ 30 }{n^2 - n}\)

    This is equal to \(\frac{1}{ 29 }\), so

    \(29 \times 30 = n^2 - n\)

    \(n^2 - n - 870 = 0\)

    Factorise \(n^2 - n - 870 = 0\):

    \((n - 30)(n + 29) = 0\)

    so \(n = 30\) or \(n = -29\).

    A bag cannot hold a negative number of counters, so \(n = 30\).

    Check: there are 6 red and 24 blue, and \(\frac{ 6 }{ 30 } \times \frac{ 5 }{ 29 } = \frac{1}{ 29 }\)

    • (a) M1the probability the first is red, over \(n\)
    • (a) M1multiplies by the probability the second is red, over \(n - 1\), and sets it equal to the given probability
    • (a) A1rearranges to the given equation with every step shown
    • (b) M1factorises \(n^2 - n - 870 = 0\) as \((n - 30)(n + 29) = 0\)
    • (b) A1solutions \(n = 30\) and \(n = -29\)
    • (b) C1rejects \(n = -29\) as a negative number of counters, so \(n = 30\)
  5. Either paper 4 marks

    A bag contains 30 counters. Some of the counters are red and the rest are blue.

    Two counters are taken from the bag at random, without replacement.

    The probability that both counters are red is \(\frac{3}{29}\).

    Work out how many red counters are in the bag.

    Show answer
    \(10\)

    Let \(r\) be the number of red counters.

    \(P(\text{both red}) = \frac{r}{ 30 } \times \frac{r - 1}{ 29 } = \frac{r^2 - r}{ 870 }\)

    So

    \(\frac{r^2 - r}{ 870 } = \frac{3}{29}\)

    Multiply both sides by \(870\):

    \(r^2 - r = 90\)

    \(r^2 - r - 90 = 0\)

    \((r - 10)(r + 9) = 0\)

    so \(r = 10\) or \(r = -9\). A number of counters cannot be negative, so there are 10 red counters.

    • M1both red as \(\frac{r}{ 30 } \times \frac{r - 1}{ 29 }\)
    • M1equation \(\frac{r^2 - r}{ 870 } = \frac{3}{29}\)
    • M1quadratic \(r^2 - r - 90 = 0\) solved or factorised
    • A110 red counters
  6. Either paper 4 marks

    A bag contains only red counters and green counters.

    A counter is taken from the bag at random. The probability that it is red is \(\frac{1}{3}\).

    The counter is put back, and then 9 more red counters are put into the bag.

    A counter is now taken from the bag at random. The probability that it is red is \(\frac{1}{2}\).

    Calculate how many counters were in the bag to start with.

    Show answer
    \(27\)

    \(P(\text{red}) = \frac{1}{3}\) at the start, so the counters can be grouped into 3s: let there be \(3k\) counters, of which \(1k\) are red.

    After the 9 extra red counters go in there are \(1k + 9\) red out of \(3k + 9\), and that probability is \(\frac{1}{2}\):

    \(\frac{ 1k + 9 }{ 3k + 9 } = \frac{ 1 }{ 2 }\)

    Cross-multiply:

    \(2(1k + 9) = 1(3k + 9)\)

    Expanding and collecting the \(k\) terms gives

    \(k = 9\)

    \(k = 9\)

    So the bag started with \(3 \times 9 = 27\) counters (9 red and 18 green).

    Check: \(\frac{ 18 }{ 36 } = \frac{1}{2}\)

    • M1probability after adding \(\frac{ 1 k + 9 }{ 3 k + 9 } = \frac{ 1 }{ 2 }\)
    • M1cross-multiply \(2(1k + 9) = 1(3k + 9)\)
    • M1collect terms to find \(k = 9\)
    • A127 counters
  7. Either paper 2 marks

    There are only green balls and yellow balls in a bag.

    The number of green balls to the number of yellow balls is in the ratio \(4 : 5\).

    Leila takes at random one ball from the bag. She records the colour of the ball and then replaces it in the bag.

    Leila does this \(n\) times, where \(n \geq 2\).

    State an expression, in terms of \(n\), for the probability that Leila gets at least one green ball and at least one yellow ball.

    Show answer
    \(1 - \left(\frac{ 4 }{ 9 }\right)^n - \left(\frac{ 5 }{ 9 }\right)^n\)

    The ratio \(4 : 5\) means that for every \(4 + 5 = 9\) balls, \(4\) are green and \(5\) are yellow.

    \(P(\text{ green }) = \frac{ 4 }{ 9 }\) and \(P(\text{ yellow }) = \frac{ 5 }{ 9 }\)

    The ball is replaced each time, so the probabilities stay the same on every draw.

    Every ball taken is either green or yellow, so "at least one of each colour" is everything except "all green" and "all yellow". Those two cannot happen together.

    \(P(\text{all } n \text{ are green}) = \left(\frac{ 4 }{ 9 }\right)^n\) and \(P(\text{all } n \text{ are yellow}) = \left(\frac{ 5 }{ 9 }\right)^n\)

    \(P(\text{at least one of each}) = 1 - \left(\frac{ 4 }{ 9 }\right)^n - \left(\frac{ 5 }{ 9 }\right)^n\)

    • B1single-draw probabilities \(\frac{ 4 }{ 9 }\) for green and \(\frac{ 5 }{ 9 }\) for yellow
    • B1one minus P(all green) minus P(all yellow), each a power of \(n\)
  8. Either paper 4 marks

    The Venn diagram gives information about the number of plants in a collection.

    E = all the plants, A = flowering plants, B = scented plants

    AB2x - 22x + 22x - 6E4

    One plant is taken at random from the collection.

    Given that the plant is scented, the probability that it is flowering is \(\frac{ 3 }{ 4 }\).

    Calculate the number of plants in the collection.

    Show answer
    \(28\)

    The plant is known to be in circle \(B\), so only the plants in circle \(B\) count. The group to divide by is the overlap plus the part of \(B\) outside the other circle, not the whole collection.

    Circle \(B\) holds \((2x + 2) + (2x - 6) = 4x - 4\) plants, and the overlap is \(2x + 2\), so

    \(\frac{ 2x + 2 }{ 4x - 4 } = \frac{ 3 }{ 4 }\)

    Cross-multiply:

    \(8x + 8 = 12x - 12\)

    Collect the \(x\) terms and the numbers:

    \(4x = 20\)

    \(x = 5\)

    The overlap is \(12\), the conditioned circle's own region is \(4\), the other circle's own region is \(8\) and the outside is \(4\).

    Add every region, including the outside:

    \(12 + 4 + 8 + 4 = 28\)

    • M1restricting to circle B: the overlap over the overlap plus B only equals \(\frac{ 3 }{ 4 }\)
    • M1solving the equation to get \(x = 5\)
    • M1the regions 12, 4, 8 and 4 found by substituting
    • A1every region added: total 28
  9. Either paper 5 marks

    There is a total of \(y\) counters in a box.

    There are \(x\) pink counters and 8 blue counters in the box.

    The rest of the counters are green.

    \(x : y = 1 : 3\)

    Grace takes at random two counters from the box.

    Find, in terms of \(x\), an expression for the probability that Grace takes two counters of the same colour.

    Give your answer as a single fraction in the form \(\frac{ ax^2 + bx + c }{ dx^2 + ex }\) where \(a\), \(b\), \(c\), \(d\) and \(e\) are integers.

    Show answer
    \(\frac{ 5x^2 - 35x + 128 }{ 9x^2 - 3x }\)

    The ratio \(x : y = 1 : 3\) gives \(y = 3x\).

    Green counters: \(3x - x - 8 = 2x - 8\)

    The first counter is one of \(3x\); the second is one of \(3x - 1\) left, so each colour has probability

    \(\frac{ \text{count} }{ 3x } \times \frac{ \text{count} - 1 }{ 3x - 1 }\)

    Pink: \(\frac{ x }{ 3x } \times \frac{ x - 1 }{ 3x - 1 } = \frac{ x(x-1) }{ 3x(3x-1) }\)

    Blue: \(\frac{ 8 }{ 3x } \times \frac{ 7 }{ 3x - 1 } = \frac{ 8(7) }{ 3x(3x-1) }\)

    Green: \(\frac{ 2x - 8 }{ 3x } \times \frac{ 2x - 9 }{ 3x - 1 } = \frac{ (2x-8)(2x-9) }{ 3x(3x-1) }\)

    Add the three over the common denominator \(3x(3x-1)\) and expand each product:

    \(x(x-1) = x^2 - x\)

    \(8(7) = 56\)

    \((2x-8)(2x-9) = 4x^2 - 34x + 72\)

    Numerator: \(x^2 - x + 56 + 4x^2 - 34x + 72 = 5x^2 - 35x + 128\)

    Denominator: \(3x(3x-1) = 9x^2 - 3x\)

    \(P(\text{same colour}) = \frac{ 5x^2 - 35x + 128 }{ 9x^2 - 3x }\)

    • B1green \(2x - 8\) and total \(3x\)
    • M1the three same-colour products \(\frac{ x(x-1) }{ 3x(3x-1) }\), \(\frac{ 8(7) }{ 3x(3x-1) }\) and \(\frac{ (2x-8)(2x-9) }{ 3x(3x-1) }\)
    • M1adds the three over the one denominator \(3x(3x-1)\)
    • A1numerator \(5x^2 - 35x + 128\)
    • A1denominator \(9x^2 - 3x\)
  10. Either paper 5 marks

    There are only \(u\) red counters and \(g\) green counters in a bag.

    A counter is taken at random from the bag. The probability that the counter is green is \(\frac{2}{5}\).

    The counter is put back in the bag. 2 more red counters and 6 more green counters are put in the bag.

    A counter is taken at random from the bag. The probability that the counter is green is \(\frac{5}{9}\).

    Find the number of red counters and the number of green counters that were in the bag originally.

    Show answer
    \(6 red counters and 4 green counters\)

    Let the bag have \(u\) red and \(g\) green counters, so \(u + g\) counters in all.

    First probability:

    \(\frac{ g }{ u + g } = \frac{ 2 }{ 5 }\)

    \(5g = 2(u + g)\)

    \(2u - 3g = 0\)

    After the extra counters there are \(g + 6\) green counters out of \(u + g + 8\):

    \(\frac{ g + 6 }{ u + g + 8 } = \frac{ 5 }{ 9 }\)

    \(9(g + 6) = 5(u + g + 8)\)

    \(9g + 54 = 5u + 5g + 40\)

    \(5u - 4g = 14\)

    To make the \(u\) terms match, multiply the first equation by 5 and the second by 2:

    \(10u - 15g = 0\)

    \(10u - 8g = 28\)

    Subtract the first equation from the second:

    \(7g = 28\)

    Divide both sides by the coefficient of \(g\):

    \(g = 4\)

    So there were \(4\) green counters. Put this into \(2u = 3g\):

    \(2u = 3 \times 4 = 12\)

    \(u = 12 \div 2 = 6\)

    There were 6 red counters and 4 green counters.

    Check: \(\frac{ 4 }{ 10 } = \frac{2}{5}\) and \(\frac{ 10 }{ 18 } = \frac{5}{9}\).

    • M1first equation \(\frac{ g }{ u + g } = \frac{ 2 }{ 5 }\)
    • M1second equation \(\frac{ g + 6 }{ u + g + 8 } = \frac{ 5 }{ 9 }\)
    • M1both equations cleared of fractions into linear form: \(2u - 3g = 0\) and \(5u - 4g = 14\)
    • A14 green counters, after eliminating \(u\)
    • A16 red counters, by substituting back